Nonlinear Monetary Policy Rules: Some New Evidence for the U.S.

Monetary policy rules in practice: Evidence from New Zealand

Ten years of inflation targeting in New Zealand is used to test whether monetary policy conforms to the simple rules that have been recommended in the literature. While a Taylor rule with the standard parameters used in the US describes New Zealand monetary policy quite well, the Reserve Bank has focused more strongly on price stability, as required by its Policy Targets Agreements. Monetary po...

Monetary Policy: Some Theory and Evidence

How stable are monetary policy rules: estimating the time-varying coefficients in monetary policy reaction function for the US

We consider the relation among the federal funds rate and the Federal Reserve’s expectations for future inflation, the future gap between actual and potential output, and the future foreign exchange value of the U.S. dollar. The coefficients of this relation are biased when relevant explanatory variables are omitted and/or when the included explanatory variables are measured with error. This pr...

Some Notes on Monetary Policy Rules with Uncertainty

The author explores the role that Taylor-type rules can play in monetary policy, given the degree of uncertainty in the economy. The optimal rule is derived from a simple infinite-horizon model of the monetary transmission mechanism, with only additive uncertainty. The author then examines how this rule ought to be modified when there is uncertainty about the parameters, the time lags, and the ...

Monetary policy rules in emerging market economies: issues and evidence

The paper reviews the recent conduct of monetary policy and central banks’ interest rate setting behaviour in emerging market economies. Using a standard open economy reaction function, we test whether central banks in emerging economies react to changes in inflation, output gaps and the exchange rate in a consistent and predictable manner. In most emerging economies the interest rate responds ...